Research Brief

Job Creation Jumps in July, Bolstering Economy Against Other Headwinds Hiring accelerates in July, underscoring labor market strength. Concerns over the economy’s trajectory, following the reporting of GDP contractions in the first two quarters, may be somewhat assuaged by the robust jobs figures...

Yield Curve Inversion Reignites Recession Fears, but Many Indicators Refute Risk Possible recession predictors lit up this month. In early July, the spread between the two-year and 10-year treasuries inverted, with the yield on the shorter-term instrument inching above that of the long-term note...