Market watch article
Market Watch Territory: 
Northwest
Market Watch Month: 
January 2025

On Wednesday, December 18th 2024, the Federal Reserve announced its third consecutive interest rate cut of 2024, lowering the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. This follows earlier rate cuts in September and November, providing relief to Americans with debt. Despite this, the Fed reduced its rate cut forecast for 2025, projecting only two rate cuts instead of the previously expected four, due to higher inflation concerns. The Fed now predicts inflation could reach 2.5% by the end of 2025, higher than its earlier estimate of 2.1%.

The news led to a significant market downturn, with the S&P 500 dropping 2.9%, and the Dow Jones falling 2.2%. Investors were disappointed by the Fed's cautious outlook for rate cuts in 2025. Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that inflation control had been slower than anticipated, with November's consumer prices rising 2.7%. While Powell expressed optimism about the U.S. economy’s performance, he also highlighted that future rate cuts would be slower due to persistent inflation. The Fed’s decision marked a shift to a “pause phase” in monetary policy, with expectations that fewer cuts will occur in the upcoming year.

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